Belief Systems

Belief Indices

Prediction markets price individual outcomes. Belief Indices show where conviction stands across an entire theme.

Each index aggregates a curated set of prediction markets under a documented, rules-based methodology for politics, geopolitics, policy, and macro uncertainty.

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Available Indices

Click any index to view details. Click column headers to sort.

AIACCELBelief Artificial Intelligence Acceleration Expectations IndexJun 7, 2026122.22-1.03%-4.72%-4.92%+22.22%
CONFLICTBelief Global Conflict Risk Escalation Expectations IndexApr 24, 202638.88+0.07%+6.21%+3.15%-61.12%
DGTDWNBelief Global Digital Asset Underperformance Expectations IndexApr 25, 202667.25+2.43%+9.97%-13.87%-32.75%
DGTUPBelief Global Digital Asset Appreciation Expectations IndexApr 25, 2026130.84-1.67%-6.43%+1.70%+30.84%
MIDD26Belief U.S. Legislative Control Democratic Expectations 2026 IndexMar 19, 2026114.93+0.00%-2.53%+10.39%+14.93%
MIDR26Belief U.S. Legislative Control Republican Expectations 2026 IndexMar 19, 202669.70+0.00%+9.52%-23.97%-30.30%
PEACEBelief Global Peace Expectations IndexApr 24, 2026122.71-0.01%-2.18%-0.28%+22.71%
PRESD28Belief U.S. Presidential Election Democratic Expectations 2028 IndexJan 17, 2026103.21-0.23%-0.28%+1.96%+3.21%
PRESR28Belief U.S. Presidential Election Republican Expectations 2028 IndexJan 17, 202697.12+0.22%+0.27%-1.79%-2.88%
USDOVEBelief U.S. Monetary Policy Dovish Stance Expectations IndexMay 2, 202640.91-5.62%-3.80%-8.44%-59.09%
USHAWKBelief U.S. Monetary Policy Hawkish Stance Expectations IndexMay 2, 2026115.17+1.88%+1.55%-3.40%+15.17%
Green = positive returnRed = negative return- = insufficient data