Belief Systems

Belief Indices

Prediction markets price individual outcomes. Belief Indices show where conviction stands across an entire theme.

Each index aggregates a curated set of prediction markets under a documented, rules-based methodology for politics, geopolitics, policy, and macro uncertainty.

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Available Indices

Click any index to view details. Click column headers to sort.

AIACCELBelief Artificial Intelligence Acceleration Expectations IndexJun 7, 2026126.66-0.20%+1.07%+0.79%+26.66%
CONFLICTBelief Global Conflict Risk Escalation Expectations IndexApr 24, 202639.22-0.14%+6.23%+1.95%-60.78%
DGTDWNBelief Global Digital Asset Underperformance Expectations IndexApr 25, 202668.95+0.87%+3.69%-15.25%-31.05%
DGTUPBelief Global Digital Asset Appreciation Expectations IndexApr 25, 2026129.42+0.06%-2.15%+1.46%+29.42%
MIDD26Belief U.S. Legislative Control Democratic Expectations 2026 IndexMar 19, 2026115.30+0.32%+0.32%+6.92%+15.30%
MIDR26Belief U.S. Legislative Control Republican Expectations 2026 IndexMar 19, 202668.94-1.09%-1.09%-18.02%-31.06%
PEACEBelief Global Peace Expectations IndexApr 24, 2026123.72+0.49%-0.88%+1.18%+23.72%
PRESD28Belief U.S. Presidential Election Democratic Expectations 2028 IndexJan 17, 2026103.26-0.04%-0.18%+0.73%+3.26%
PRESR28Belief U.S. Presidential Election Republican Expectations 2028 IndexJan 17, 202697.08+0.03%+0.17%-0.69%-2.92%
USDOVEBelief U.S. Monetary Policy Dovish Stance Expectations IndexMay 2, 202639.92+18.16%-7.89%-10.91%-60.08%
USHAWKBelief U.S. Monetary Policy Hawkish Stance Expectations IndexMay 2, 2026116.07-4.15%+2.68%-1.39%+16.07%
Green = positive returnRed = negative return- = insufficient data