Belief Systems

Belief Indices

Prediction markets price individual outcomes. Belief Indices show where conviction stands across an entire theme.

Each index aggregates a curated set of prediction markets under a documented, rules-based methodology for politics, geopolitics, policy, and macro uncertainty.

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Available Indices

Click any index to view details. Click column headers to sort.

AIACCELBelief Artificial Intelligence Acceleration Expectations IndexJun 7, 2026125.91+0.38%+5.17%+30.98%+25.91%
CONFLICTBelief Global Conflict Risk Escalation Expectations IndexApr 24, 202636.04+1.60%-0.21%+6.32%-63.96%
DGTDWNBelief Global Digital Asset Underperformance Expectations IndexApr 25, 202676.80-0.80%+0.81%-20.60%-23.20%
DGTUPBelief Global Digital Asset Appreciation Expectations IndexApr 25, 2026129.39+0.91%-0.44%+19.45%+29.39%
MIDD26Belief U.S. Legislative Control Democratic Expectations 2026 IndexMar 19, 2026104.10+0.72%+0.72%+7.31%+4.10%
MIDR26Belief U.S. Legislative Control Republican Expectations 2026 IndexMar 19, 202691.67-1.63%-1.63%-13.57%-8.33%
PEACEBelief Global Peace Expectations IndexApr 24, 2026124.37-0.80%+0.06%+0.60%+24.37%
PRESD28Belief U.S. Presidential Election Democratic Expectations 2028 IndexJan 17, 2026100.27+0.19%-0.57%-0.90%+0.27%
PRESR28Belief U.S. Presidential Election Republican Expectations 2028 IndexJan 17, 202699.75-0.17%+0.52%+0.82%-0.25%
USDOVEBelief U.S. Monetary Policy Dovish Stance Expectations IndexMay 2, 202640.66+8.26%+14.33%+0.75%-59.34%
USHAWKBelief U.S. Monetary Policy Hawkish Stance Expectations IndexMay 2, 2026131.17-5.34%-9.49%+2.90%+31.17%
USLATINT26Belief U.S. Latin American Intervention Expectations 2026 IndexApr 25, 202637.11-0.21%+9.18%-16.85%-62.89%
USLATSQ26Belief U.S. Latin American Status Quo Expectations 2026 IndexApr 25, 2026130.31+0.31%-0.85%+3.13%+30.31%
Green = positive returnRed = negative return- = insufficient data