Belief Indices
Quantified event risk derived from prediction market consensus.
Each Belief Index aggregates multiple prediction markets into a single, interpretable measure of implied probability around a specific event theme.
01
Raw Event Data
Event markets express implied probabilities around discrete outcomes.
02
Belief Methodology
We curate and weight markets to represent a specific event risk theme.
03
Index Data
The output is a transparent, interpretable time series for analysis.
Available Indices
Click any index to view details. Click column headers to sort.
Green = positive returnRed = negative return- = insufficient data