Belief Systems

Belief Indices

Prediction markets price individual outcomes. Belief Indices show where conviction stands across an entire theme.

Each index aggregates a curated set of prediction markets under a documented, rules-based methodology for politics, geopolitics, policy, and macro uncertainty.

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Available Indices

Click any index to view details. Click column headers to sort.

AIACCELBelief Artificial Intelligence Acceleration Expectations IndexJun 7, 2026126.90+0.11%+1.28%+1.46%+26.90%
CONFLICTBelief Global Conflict Risk Escalation Expectations IndexApr 24, 202639.57+0.86%+5.95%+1.89%-60.43%
DGTDWNBelief Global Digital Asset Underperformance Expectations IndexApr 25, 202668.23-1.92%+1.99%-16.03%-31.77%
DGTUPBelief Global Digital Asset Appreciation Expectations IndexApr 25, 2026129.98+2.27%-1.28%+1.82%+29.98%
MIDD26Belief U.S. Legislative Control Democratic Expectations 2026 IndexMar 19, 2026114.93+0.00%+0.00%+6.21%+14.93%
MIDR26Belief U.S. Legislative Control Republican Expectations 2026 IndexMar 19, 202669.70+0.00%+0.00%-16.36%-30.30%
PEACEBelief Global Peace Expectations IndexApr 24, 2026122.97-0.14%-0.80%+0.86%+22.97%
PRESD28Belief U.S. Presidential Election Democratic Expectations 2028 IndexJan 17, 2026103.27+0.06%-0.28%+0.75%+3.27%
PRESR28Belief U.S. Presidential Election Republican Expectations 2028 IndexJan 17, 202697.07-0.06%+0.26%-0.71%-2.93%
USDOVEBelief U.S. Monetary Policy Dovish Stance Expectations IndexMay 2, 202640.34+10.99%-6.92%-10.47%-59.66%
USHAWKBelief U.S. Monetary Policy Hawkish Stance Expectations IndexMay 2, 2026115.29-2.68%+1.99%-1.48%+15.29%
Green = positive returnRed = negative return- = insufficient data