The measurement layer for prediction markets
$PRESD28U.S. Presidential Election Democratic Expectations 2028 Index
103.27Latest level · base 100 at inception+0.75% over 30 days · as of Oct 16, 09:59 UTC
Latest reading · Oct 16, 09:44 UTC
103.27+0.75% in window
Latest reading · Oct 16, 09:44 UTC
103.27+0.75% in window
True published levels · base 100 at inception · recorded every 30 minutes · Featured series rotates daily
Open $PRESD28 →Full catalog →Other live readings
$CONFLICT39.6
Global Conflict Risk Escalation Expectations Index
+0.83% 1D
$MIDD26114.9
U.S. Legislative Control Democratic Expectations 2026 Index
+0.00% 1D
$AIACCEL126.9
Artificial Intelligence Acceleration Expectations Index
+0.03% 1D
$MIDVOL36.8 pts
Estimated movement over the next 30 days · 26% release share
About Belief Systems
Prediction markets have prices. Institutions need measurements. Belief Systems publishes the independent benchmarks and forward volatility that make event risk usable in research, risk, and product design.
- Belief IndicesOpen the indices →
- Rules-based benchmarks of where expectations stand – elections, geopolitics, and policy outcomes.
- Belief VolatilityOpen the family →
- How far probabilities may move over a stated horizon, in probability points at stated tenors.