Index Data

Point-in-time datasets of Belief Index levels, basket compositions, and reconstitution history – recorded live at each valuation window since inception, never restated, and free to download for research and editorial use with attribution.

Downloads

Snapshot 2026-07-09
Complete bundle

All series, data dictionary, license, and citation metadata (683 KB).

Download bundle (.zip)
SeriesCoverageRowsFiles
AIACCELBelief Artificial Intelligence Acceleration Expectations Index2026-06-07 2026-07-091,501
CONFLICTBelief Global Conflict Risk Escalation Expectations Index2026-04-24 2026-07-093,504
DGTDWNBelief Global Digital Asset Underperformance Expectations Indexmirror series – derived inverse2026-04-25 2026-07-093,450
DGTUPBelief Global Digital Asset Appreciation Expectations Index2026-04-25 2026-07-093,452
MIDD26Belief U.S. Legislative Control Democratic Expectations 2026 Index2026-03-19 2026-07-094,890
MIDR26Belief U.S. Legislative Control Republican Expectations 2026 Index2026-03-19 2026-07-094,894
PEACEBelief Global Peace Expectations Indexmirror series – derived inverse2026-04-24 2026-07-093,466
PRESD28Belief U.S. Presidential Election Democratic Expectations 2028 Index2026-01-17 2026-07-097,732
PRESR28Belief U.S. Presidential Election Republican Expectations 2028 Index2026-01-17 2026-07-097,732
USDOVEBelief U.S. Monetary Policy Dovish Stance Expectations Indexmirror series – derived inverse2026-05-02 2026-07-093,133
USHAWKBelief U.S. Monetary Policy Hawkish Stance Expectations Index2026-05-02 2026-07-093,134
USLATINT26Belief U.S. Latin American Intervention Expectations 2026 Index2026-04-25 2026-07-093,449
USLATSQ26Belief U.S. Latin American Status Quo Expectations 2026 Index2026-04-25 2026-07-093,449

Plus the series reference file (full universe including resolved and terminated series, with mirror pairs flagged) and the data dictionary. Field definitions, gap and staleness semantics, and format conventions are in the dictionary – read it before building on the data. SHA-256 checksums for every file are in manifest.json.

Point-in-Time Guarantees

No silent restatements

As-published values are never rewritten. The snapshot pipeline refuses to publish if any historical row differs from a previously published snapshot; corrections, if ever required, appear as labeled changelog entries in the manifest.

No survivorship bias

Once a series is published here it never disappears: resolved and terminated series ship their final, frozen history in every subsequent snapshot, and the series reference file carries the full universe.

Replicable arithmetic

Levels join to the composition in force at every window, and reconstitution files carry the chain-linking values – so basket membership, target weights, and the continuity of the published level are all independently verifiable.

Anomalies flagged, not hidden

Every window carries its own data-quality flags marking any window priced on carried-forward data. Because as-published values are never rewritten, a known anomaly – one window on 2026-04-28 that computed on degraded order-book data and briefly spiked every series – stays in the archive, flagged rather than removed. The data dictionary documents it, and the stale-window flags let you filter it; anyone reading raw intra-window extremes should do so.

Snapshot Archive

Dated snapshots are permanent – cite the archive URL and any reader finds exactly the files you used. The stable /data/latest/ URLs above always point at the newest snapshot.

Suggested citation: Belief Systems (2026). Belief Index Data, snapshot 2026-07-09. Retrieved from https://beliefsystems.xyz/data/archive/2026-07-09/

License & Attribution

The datasets are licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0 with a supplementary grant permitting editorial and journalistic use – including in commercial news outlets – with attribution. Any use must carry:

Source: Belief Systems (beliefsystems.xyz)

Systematic, trading, redistribution, or product use requires a commercial license. Full terms ship inside every bundle.

Beyond the Snapshots

Live data & API

Snapshots are periodic; the API is for live levels and programmatic access. Early access is limited while we gauge demand and shape the interface.

Request API early access
Commercial licensing

Live feeds, custom cadences, constituent-level history, systematic or trading use, index-linked products, and calculation-agent services are licensed through Index Services.

Index Services
Academic research

Deeper extracts – per-window constituent detail, custom cuts – are available on request to academic researchers, free for non-commercial research use.

Research program

Index construction rules are documented in the published methodology; versioning and corrections policy in benchmark governance. Journalists: reusable charts and boilerplate are on the press page. Index levels are informational benchmarks – theoretical values, not execution prices, and not investment advice.