Press
Boilerplate, downloadable charts, and a direct line for journalists covering prediction markets and event risk.
About Belief Systems
Belief Systems is the index layer for prediction markets.
Belief Systems is an index provider that builds rules-based benchmarks on top of prediction markets. It publishes thematic indices of how those markets price events – election expectations, conflict risk, monetary policy stance, and others – as continuous, point-in-time series with a versioned, publicly documented methodology. The published indices are informational benchmark data, not an investment product.
Reusable verbatim in any story. Attribution: Source: Belief Systems (beliefsystems.xyz).
Key Facts
Index provider for event risk
2025 · United States
Political risk, geopolitical risk, policy risk, macro uncertainty
Rules-based, versioned, publicly documented
Free point-in-time snapshots, refreshed monthly, at beliefsystems.xyz/data
Source: Belief Systems (beliefsystems.xyz)
Chart Pack – H1 2026
Six publication-ready charts on how prediction markets repriced event risk in the first half of 2026 – conflict risk, monetary policy stance, and election expectations. All charts show % change with the attribution line baked in, free for editorial use under the data license. Click a chart to download it individually.
The zip includes all six PNGs, the PDF, and a README with captions and citation notes. The pack is a fixed retrospective with a June 30 cutoff; the ceasefire behind the conflict-risk wind-down was declared over on July 8–9, so the live series carries the current picture.
Brand Assets
Logo files in SVG and PNG formats, light and dark variants, plus a print-quality founder headshot.
Founder
James Stewart
Founder & CEOLinkedIn ↗James Stewart is the founder and CEO of Belief Systems. He previously held roles at BlackRock, Genesis, Eigen Labs, and SoFi, spanning institutional asset management, digital asset markets, and consumer finance. He founded Belief Systems to build the benchmark layer for event risk – rules-based, citable indices of how prediction markets price elections, geopolitics, and policy.
Go Deeper
Press Contact
Media inquiries, interview requests, commentary – and if you are on deadline, we will cut a custom chart for your story, same day.