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All-Time Return
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This index measures market-implied expectations of digital asset price underperformance across the major cryptocurrency complex. It aggregates prices from the same diversified set of prediction market contracts as the corresponding appreciation index, with each constituent voting the inverse side to capture downside expectations for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. Movements in the index reflect changes in market-implied probabilities of downside realizations across the underlying assets, not directional price forecasts.
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Theoretical index level — midpoint-based, before fees, spreads, and slippage. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The Belief Global Digital Asset Depreciation Expectations Index hit a new all-time low of 94.12, falling roughly 8 points over the past week. U.S. strikes on Iran announced this morning appear to have lifted risk assets broadly, compressing downside expectations across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP.
This index measures market-implied expectations of digital asset price underperformance across the major cryptocurrency complex. It aggregates prices from the same diversified set of prediction market contracts as the corresponding appreciation index, with each constituent voting the inverse side to capture downside expectations for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. Movements in the index reflect changes in market-implied probabilities of downside realizations across the underlying assets, not directional price forecasts.
Performance data as of Jul 17, 2026. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Contribution = weight × midpoint price. Total contribution equals Raw NAV.
This index is periodically rebalanced to keep tracking the most relevant, liquid prediction markets. Each event below records the markets added to the index – follow any market to view it on the live source.
This index is provided for informational and research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Belief Systems does not operate an exchange or facilitate wagering. Index values are derived from prediction market prices, which reflect market participants' expectations rather than certainties, and are theoretical and non-executable. Past performance does not guarantee future results.